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XRP Price May Drop 40% By September – Fractal Analysis

Published on

July 20, 2023
Read Time:2 Minute, 3 Second

Double-digit proportion positive aspects for XRP (XRP) this month could have reached the purpose of exhaustion, mirroring developments elsewhere within the cryptocurrency market.

This follows euphoria surrounding Ripple's partial victory over the US Securities and Alternate Fee, which led to bullish requires as excessive as $15 within the coming months.

$15 is cheap over 18 months or so for my part.

In the event that they go public and time it proper, I believe it might be as excessive as $35.

Make no mistake... it won't go that prime... however it would $XRP IS is breaking an all-time excessive this cycle barring some sort of pointless, vindictive enchantment to the SEC. (low chance) https://t.co/rrMCuOacrE

— Ben Armstrong (@Bitboy_Crypto) July 19, 2023

Nonetheless, fractal evaluation of XRP's latest candlestick and value momentum patterns suggests {that a} sharp market correction just isn't off the desk, particularly if historical past repeats itself.

XRP value fractal preceded a 65% drop

Notably, sure XRP market indicators preceded a 65% value drop in Q2 2021. These at the moment are flashing once more, specifically the multi-year descending trendline resistance and an “overbought” Relative Power Index (RSI) as proven beneath.

Weekly XRP/USD value chart. Supply: TradingView

Descending trendline resistance (labeled “Higher Trendline Resistance” within the chart above) has capped XRP's uptrend since January 2018. This value cap is supported by one other horizontal trendline resistance (purple) close to $0.93.

General, the confluency of resistance coupled with an overbought RSI is now rising the chance of a market correction for XRP. In that case, XRP value is prone to drop in direction of the decrease trendline help close to $0.52 by September, down nearly 40% from present value ranges.

Associated: Chairman Gensler Says SEC Response to Ripple Choice is Combined and Nonetheless Underneath Evaluate

Curiously, the draw back goal seems nearer to the XRP 50-week exponential transferring common (50-week EMA; the pink wave), elevating the potential of a rally round this stage. Moreover, the wave help was the native backside throughout the value drop within the second quarter of 2021.

As of July 20, XRP value is up 70% month-to-date, outperforming the broader crypto market, which is up simply 5% over the identical interval.

This text doesn't comprise any funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling exercise entails danger and readers ought to do their very own analysis in making their resolution.



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Azeez Mustafa
Azeez began his FinTech career path in 2008 after growing interest and intrigue about market wizards and how they managed to become victorious on the battlefield of the financial world. After a decade of learning, reading and training the ins and outs of the industry, he’s now a sought after trading professional, technical/currency analyst and funds manager – as well as an author.
Last Updated : July 20, 2023
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